Hurricane Dorian Wind Speed Probabilities

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812 
FONT15 KNHC 071734
PWSAT5

HURRICANE DORIAN SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  58        
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052019               
1800 UTC SAT SEP 07 2019                                            

AT 1800Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DORIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
42.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H.                                        

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   9( 9)  11(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)

ILE ST PIERRE  34  5  45(50)   1(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)

BURGEO NFLD    34 20  62(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X  24(24)   2(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)

PTX BASQUES    34 51  48(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
PTX BASQUES    50  X  84(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)
PTX BASQUES    64  X  27(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)

EDDY POINT NS  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
EDDY POINT NS  50 86  13(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
EDDY POINT NS  64 10  49(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)

SYDNEY NS      34 89  10(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SYDNEY NS      50  8  79(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)
SYDNEY NS      64  X  22(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)

SABLE ISLAND   34 82   1(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
SABLE ISLAND   50 11   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

HALIFAX NS     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
HALIFAX NS     50 99   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
HALIFAX NS     64 66   2(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)

YARMOUTH NS    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
YARMOUTH NS    50 73   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)

MONCTON NB     34 89   1(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)
MONCTON NB     50 14   3(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)

ST JOHN NB     34 78   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)
ST JOHN NB     50  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

EASTPORT ME    34 38   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)

BAR HARBOR ME  34  8   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

AUGUSTA ME     34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

HYANNIS MA     34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

NANTUCKET MA   34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    



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