Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian Wind Speed Probabilities

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772 
FONT15 KNHC 072045
PWSAT5

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DORIAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  59    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052019               
2100 UTC SAT SEP 07 2019                                            

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DORIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 43.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H.                             

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X  24(24)   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)

ILE ST PIERRE  34 48  17(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

BURGEO NFLD    34 77  13(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)
BURGEO NFLD    50  7  49(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)
BURGEO NFLD    64  X   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

PTX BASQUES    34 96   4(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
PTX BASQUES    50 81  17(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
PTX BASQUES    64  X  56(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)

EDDY POINT NS  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
EDDY POINT NS  50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
EDDY POINT NS  64 16   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

SYDNEY NS      34 98   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
SYDNEY NS      50 96   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
SYDNEY NS      64 31   2(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)

SABLE ISLAND   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SABLE ISLAND   50 16   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

HALIFAX NS     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
HALIFAX NS     50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
HALIFAX NS     64 57   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)

YARMOUTH NS    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

MONCTON NB     34 98   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)

ST JOHN NB     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

EASTPORT ME    34 24   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)

BAR HARBOR ME  34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    



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