Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian Forecast Advisory

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000
WTNT25 KNHC 080838
TCMAT5

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  61
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052019
0900 UTC SUN SEP 08 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WARNINGS FOR
NOVA SCOTIA WEST OF ECUM SECUM ON THE SOUTHERN COAST AND WEST OF
BRULE ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST.  ALL WARNINGS HAVE ALSO BEEN
DISCONTINUED FOR NEW BRUNSWICK.  THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR PRINCE
EDWARD ISLAND HAS ALSO BEEN DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EASTERN NOVA SCOTIA FROM ECUM SECUM TO BRULE
* WESTERN NEWFOUNDLAND FROM INDIAN HARBOUR TO HAWKE'S BAY

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MAGDALEN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
* MAGDALEN ISLANDS
* STONE'S COVE TO INDIAN HARBOUR
* HAWKE'S BAY TO FOGO ISLAND
* MUTTON BAY TO MARY'S HARBOUR

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 48.5N  61.1W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT  23 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE  80SE  80SW   0NW.
50 KT.......140NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT.......300NE 300SE 210SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 600SE 660SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 48.5N  61.1W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 47.6N  61.9W

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 50.9N  58.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 100SW  60NW.
34 KT...360NE 320SE 300SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 53.6N  52.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 120SE  60SW  30NW.
34 KT...300NE 320SE 240SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 55.7N  45.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...300NE 320SE 300SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 57.0N  37.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 300SE 330SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 48.5N  61.1W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 08/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




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