Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian Wind Speed Probabilities

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FONT15 KNHC 080232
PWSAT5

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DORIAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  60    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052019               
0300 UTC SUN SEP 08 2019                                            

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DORIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 46.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H.                              

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

CAPE RACE NFLD 34  2  17(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)

ILE ST PIERRE  34 54   2(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)

BURGEO NFLD    34 85   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)
BURGEO NFLD    50 18   2(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)

PTX BASQUES    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
PTX BASQUES    50 98   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
PTX BASQUES    64 34   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)

EDDY POINT NS  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
EDDY POINT NS  50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
EDDY POINT NS  64 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

SYDNEY NS      34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SYDNEY NS      50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SYDNEY NS      64 24   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)

SABLE ISLAND   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

HALIFAX NS     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
HALIFAX NS     50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
HALIFAX NS     64 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

YARMOUTH NS    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

MONCTON NB     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

ST JOHN NB     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

EASTPORT ME    34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER AVILA                                                    



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