Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian Wind Speed Probabilities

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POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DORIAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  61    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052019               
0900 UTC SUN SEP 08 2019                                            

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DORIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 48.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H.                              

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

ILE ST PIERRE  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

BURGEO NFLD    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
BURGEO NFLD    50  6   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

PTX BASQUES    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
PTX BASQUES    50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

EDDY POINT NS  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

SYDNEY NS      34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SYDNEY NS      50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

SABLE ISLAND   34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

HALIFAX NS     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

MONCTON NB     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN                                                    



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