Hurricane Dorian’s course turned slightly south, with the storm now expected to make landfall near Jupiter, Florida, as a Category 4 packing winds reaching 140 miles per hour.
The center of the storm’s “cone of uncertainty” now centers on Jupiter, about 25 miles (40 kilometers) north of President Donald Trump’s Mar-a-Lago resort. Trump canceled a planned trip to Poland this weekend because of the storm. The hurricane’s center was located about 255 miles east-northeast of the southeastern Bahamas as of 8 a.m. New York time, moving northwest with maximum sustained winds of about 110 miles per hour, according to the U.S. National Hurricane Center.
Dorian could slow down as it approaches the coast, meaning landfall won’t happen until late Monday or even early Tuesday, said Dan Pydynowski, a meteorologist with AccuWeather Inc. in State College, Pennsylvania.
Storm surge could reach 10 feet or more just north of where the center of Dorian crosses the coast, Pydynowski said. Then the storm is forecast to turn north and drag destruction up Florida into the Georgia and beyond.
“You are talking about significant damage and total destruction of some structures at or near the coast,” Pydynowski said. “You are talking about heavy flooding rainfall across the interior of Florida and you are talking about sustained tropical-storm-force winds all up and down the Florida peninsula.”
Dorian is expected to become a major hurricane — meaning at least a Category 3 on the Saffir-Simpson scale — later today. It will approach the northwestern Bahamas on Saturday, and move near or over parts of that region on Sunday, the center reported.
“Dorian is likely to remain an extremely dangerous hurricane while it moves near the northwestern Bahamas and approaches the Florida peninsula through the weekend,” the center said in its latest advisory.
It’s still too early to say precisely where Dorian will make landfall — Florida’s governor on Thursday expanded a state of emergency to all 67 counties from 26, citing the “uncertain projected path.” The storm could impact counties with average insured values of $53 billion, according to Bloomberg Intelligence, while Chuck Watson, a disaster modeler with Enki Research, sees losses in the $10 billion range. Orange juice prices surged this week on estimates that about 60% of the state’s main orange-growing region could be affected.
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