Tropical Storm Humberto Forecast Advisory

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 140247
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092019
0300 UTC SAT SEP 14 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH ON THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS EXCLUDING ANDROS ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N  75.2W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE   0SE   0SW  80NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N  75.2W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.5N  75.0W

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 26.5N  76.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE   0SE   0SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 27.6N  77.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 28.8N  78.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 29.8N  78.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 31.0N  75.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE  70SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 31.3N  72.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 32.3N  67.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.6N  75.2W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 14/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




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