Tropical Storm Humberto Forecast Advisory

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 151452
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092019
1500 UTC SUN SEP 15 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N  77.9W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 140SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N  77.9W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.6N  77.8W

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 29.5N  77.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 30.0N  77.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 30.3N  75.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 30.7N  74.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 31.6N  69.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 120SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 34.5N  62.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 39.0N  57.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.9N  77.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




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