Tropical Storm Humberto Wind Speed Probabilities

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FONT14 KNHC 152050
PWSAT4

TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13         
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092019               
2100 UTC SUN SEP 15 2019                                            

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR     
LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.                              

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
SABLE ISLAND   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

CHERRY PT NC   34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

NEW RIVER NC   34  1   3( 4)   4( 8)   2(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)

MOREHEAD CITY  34  1   4( 5)   3( 8)   2(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)

SURF CITY NC   34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

WILMINGTON NC  34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

BALD HEAD ISL  34  3   3( 6)   3( 9)   3(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)

LITTLE RIVER   34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

MYRTLE BEACH   34  3   3( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)

GEORGETOWN SC  34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

CHARLESTON SC  34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

BEAUFORT MCAS  34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SAVANNAH GA    34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

KINGS BAY GA   34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MAYPORT NS FL  34  3   3( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

JACKSONVILLE   34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

DAYTONA BEACH  34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ORLANDO FL     34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

COCOA BEACH FL 34  3   3( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

PATRICK AFB    34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

FT PIERCE FL   34  3   3( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

W PALM BEACH   34  3   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

FT LAUDERDALE  34  2   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  22(22)  57(79)   1(80)
BERMUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  44(47)   1(48)
BERMUDA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  24(25)   X(25)

GRAND BAHAMA   34  3   3( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

NEW PROVIDENCE 34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER STEWART                                                  



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