Hurricane Humberto Forecast Advisory

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526 
WTNT24 KNHC 160236
TCMAT4

HURRICANE HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092019
0300 UTC MON SEP 16 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN AND AROUND BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
HUMBERTO.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N  77.6W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 130SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N  77.6W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.3N  77.8W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 29.8N  77.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 30.1N  76.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 30.5N  74.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 30.8N  73.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE  80SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 31.8N  68.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 35.0N  63.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 39.0N  60.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.4N  77.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





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