Hurricane Lorenzo Forecast Advisory

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000
WTNT23 KNHC 252039
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132019
2100 UTC WED SEP 25 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  36.9W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  10SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  20SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 130SE  30SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  36.9W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  36.3W

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 15.0N  38.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE  60SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 16.1N  40.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 160SE  90SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 17.7N  41.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 19.5N  43.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 23.0N  44.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 100SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 26.5N  43.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 31.0N  40.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N  36.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




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