Hurricane Lorenzo Forecast Advisory

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257 
WTNT23 KNHC 260234
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132019
0300 UTC THU SEP 26 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N  38.1W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  974 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  10SE  10SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  40SE  20SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE  90SE  80SW 170NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 280SE 210SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N  38.1W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  37.6W

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 15.2N  39.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 90NE  50SE  30SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 100SE 100SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 16.8N  41.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 120SE 100SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.5N  42.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 140SE 100SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 20.4N  43.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 140SE 100SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 23.8N  43.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 100SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 27.5N  42.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 31.9N  39.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N  38.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER LATTO





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