Hurricane Lorenzo Forecast Advisory

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000
WTNT23 KNHC 280233
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132019
0300 UTC SAT SEP 28 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  44.1W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  952 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT.......120NE 100SE  50SW 100NW.
34 KT.......240NE 200SE 120SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 330SE 360SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  44.1W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N  44.0W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 21.9N  44.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT...120NE 100SE  50SW 100NW.
34 KT...240NE 200SE 120SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 23.7N  44.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT...120NE 100SE  50SW 100NW.
34 KT...230NE 200SE 120SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 25.4N  44.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT...120NE 100SE  50SW 100NW.
34 KT...230NE 200SE 120SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 27.0N  43.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT...120NE 100SE  50SW 100NW.
34 KT...230NE 200SE 120SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 30.7N  41.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  90NW.
34 KT...220NE 240SE 180SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 36.5N  34.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 45.5N  22.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N  44.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS




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