Hurricane Lorenzo Forecast Advisory

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000
WTNT23 KNHC 280842
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132019
0900 UTC SAT SEP 28 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  44.8W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  957 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  35SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT.......120NE 110SE  60SW 100NW.
34 KT.......250NE 170SE 120SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 330SE 330SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  44.8W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N  44.6W

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 22.7N  44.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...120NE 110SE  60SW 100NW.
34 KT...240NE 170SE 120SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 24.5N  44.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...120NE 110SE  60SW 100NW.
34 KT...240NE 170SE 120SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 26.0N  44.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT...230NE 200SE 120SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 27.6N  43.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT...230NE 210SE 160SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 31.5N  40.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  90NW.
34 KT...230NE 230SE 180SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 38.0N  32.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 48.0N  19.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N  44.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY




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