Hurricane Lorenzo Forecast Advisory

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000
WTNT23 KNHC 282039
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132019
2100 UTC SAT SEP 28 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LORENZO.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N  45.0W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  950 MB
EYE DIAMETER  35 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  45SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......240NE 200SE 110SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 330SE 390SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N  45.0W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N  45.0W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 24.6N  44.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  45NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...210NE 200SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 26.3N  44.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 55NE  55SE  45SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 130SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 28.0N  43.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  55SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 210SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 29.7N  42.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...220NE 230SE 160SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 34.8N  38.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...130NE 150SE 120SW  90NW.
34 KT...250NE 260SE 220SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 42.5N  26.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 49.0N  13.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.3N  45.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




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