Hurricane Lorenzo Forecast Advisory

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000
WTNT23 KNHC 290832
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132019
0900 UTC SUN SEP 29 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LORENZO.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N  44.6W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  925 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  45SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......240NE 200SE 110SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 270SE 270SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N  44.6W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.7N  44.7W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 26.4N  44.2W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  45NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...210NE 200SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 28.0N  43.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  70SE  60SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 220SE 140SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 29.9N  42.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...220NE 240SE 170SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 32.2N  40.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  60NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...250NE 260SE 200SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 39.4N  32.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...140NE 150SE 120SW 110NW.
34 KT...270NE 280SE 240SW 220NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 47.8N  20.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 53.5N  10.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.1N  44.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




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