Hurricane Lorenzo Forecast Advisory

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004 
WTNT23 KNHC 291455
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132019
1500 UTC SUN SEP 29 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LORENZO.
WATCHES COULD BE ISSUED FOR THOSE ISLANDS LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N  44.4W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  938 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  45SE  35SW  70NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  90SE 110SW 100NW.
34 KT.......240NE 200SE 140SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 270SE 270SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N  44.4W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.5N  44.5W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 27.2N  43.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  35SW  70NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE 110SW 100NW.
34 KT...240NE 200SE 140SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 28.9N  43.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
50 KT...110NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.
34 KT...220NE 200SE 160SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 31.0N  41.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 110SW 110NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 180SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 33.7N  38.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
50 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 110NW.
34 KT...260NE 260SE 200SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 42.0N  29.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...160NE 160SE 110SW 110NW.
34 KT...330NE 330SE 240SW 240NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 50.0N  18.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 54.9N  11.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.9N  44.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER LATTO





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