Hurricane Lorenzo Forecast Advisory

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000
WTNT23 KNHC 292043
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132019
2100 UTC SUN SEP 29 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LORENZO.
WATCHES COULD BE ISSUED FOR THOSE ISLANDS LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N  44.2W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  90SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT.......210NE 220SE 140SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE 330SE 420SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N  44.2W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N  44.4W

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 28.2N  43.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...210NE 220SE 140SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 30.1N  42.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
50 KT...110NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.
34 KT...220NE 200SE 160SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 32.4N  40.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 110SW 110NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 180SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 35.6N  37.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
50 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 110NW.
34 KT...260NE 280SE 200SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 44.6N  26.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...160NE 160SE 110SW 110NW.
34 KT...330NE 330SE 240SW 240NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 52.2N  17.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 55.0N  15.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N  44.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER LATTO




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