Tropical Storm Melissa Forecast Advisory

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836 
WTNT24 KNHC 130241
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142019
0300 UTC SUN OCT 13 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

FOR INFORMATION ON COASTAL FLOODING HAZARDS...SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WEATHER.GOV.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.6N  64.0W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  80 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  90SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.6N  64.0W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.4N  64.8W

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 39.2N  61.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 40.2N  57.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 41.1N  53.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 42.0N  47.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 42.2N  35.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.6N  64.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





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