Subtropical Storm Rebekah Forecast Discussion

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318 
WTNT44 KNHC 312032
TCDAT4

Subtropical Storm Rebekah Discussion Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL192019
500 PM AST Thu Oct 31 2019

Rebekah continues to have a small band of moderate-to-deep
convection around the center, although the overall cloud pattern is
becoming stretched from northeast to southwest.  The initial wind
speed is kept at 40 kt.  All of the models keep stretching Rebekah
out overnight and show it degenerating into a trough within 24 h
while it moves eastward.  A convergent environment and the cyclone's
movement over cool waters are expected to offset any cooling aloft
which would promote convection.

Since Rebekah is not expected to be a tropical or subtropical
cyclone near the Azores, hazard information can be found in regular
products issued by the Portuguese Institute for the Sea and
Atmosphere (IPMA) for those islands at
https://www.ipma.pt/pt/index.html.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  31/2100Z 41.1N  33.5W   40 KT  45 MPH
 12H  01/0600Z 41.2N  29.9W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 24H  01/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Blake




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