Tropical Depression One Forecast Advisory

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WTNT21 KNHC 162135 CCA
TCMAT1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012020
2100 UTC SAT MAY 16 2020

CORRECTED TROPICAL STORM WATCH END POINT TO SURF CITY IN SUMMARY

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST
FROM NORTH OF SURF CITY TO DUCK...INCLUDING PAMLICO AND
ALBEMARLE SOUNDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SURF CITY TO DUCK NC
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N  78.6W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N  78.6W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.0N  78.8W

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 29.7N  78.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 31.4N  77.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 33.0N  76.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 35.2N  74.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 37.1N  72.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 38.0N  70.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  90SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 38.0N  68.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.4N  78.6W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 17/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




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