Subtropical Depression Four Forecast Advisory

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 222040
TCMAT4

SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042020
2100 UTC MON JUN 22 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.2N  65.7W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  75 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.2N  65.7W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.1N  66.2W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 38.5N  64.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 39.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 40.5N  59.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 42.5N  56.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 45.0N  53.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 47.8N  50.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.2N  65.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




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