Tropical Storm Fay Wind Speed Probabilities

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FONT11 KNHC 100842
PWSAT1

TROPICAL STORM FAY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062020               
0900 UTC FRI JUL 10 2020                                            

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 
37.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                                          

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

AUGUSTA ME     34  X   2( 2)   5( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

PORTLAND ME    34  X   3( 3)   7(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

CONCORD NH     34  X   7( 7)  13(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)

PORTSMOUTH NH  34  X   5( 5)   8(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)

WORCESTER MA   34  X  16(16)   8(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)

SPRINGFIELD MA 34  X  25(25)   7(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
SPRINGFIELD MA 50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BOSTON MA      34  X   9( 9)   6(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)

HYANNIS MA     34  X   6( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

NANTUCKET MA   34  2   5( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

PROVIDENCE RI  34  2  14(16)   3(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)

BRIDGEPORT CT  34  1  37(38)   1(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)
BRIDGEPORT CT  50  X   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

NEW HAVEN CT   34  1  36(37)   2(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)
NEW HAVEN CT   50  X   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

HARTFORD CT    34  X  31(31)   4(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
HARTFORD CT    50  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NEW LONDON CT  34  1  24(25)   3(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)

ALBANY NY      34  X  14(14)   5(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
ALBANY NY      50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

POUGHKEEPSIE   34  X  23(23)   2(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
POUGHKEEPSIE   50  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

MONTAUK POINT  34  6  19(25)   1(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)

ISLIP NY       34  4  37(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)
ISLIP NY       50  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 11  35(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 50  X   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

NYC CNTRL PARK 34  3  33(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
NYC CNTRL PARK 50  X   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

NEWARK NJ      34  4  26(30)   1(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
NEWARK NJ      50  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

TRENTON NJ     34  5  14(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)

NWS EARLE NJ   34 11  28(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)
NWS EARLE NJ   50  X   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

ALLENTOWN PA   34  1   6( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

PHILADELPHIA   34  7   6(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)

ATLANTIC CITY  34 39   4(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)
ATLANTIC CITY  50  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

DOVER DE       34 16   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

ANNAPOLIS MD   34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

CAPE HENLOPEN  34 36   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
CAPE HENLOPEN  50  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

OCEAN CITY MD  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
OCEAN CITY MD  50  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

PAX RIVER NAS  34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

WALLOPS CDA    34 20   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)

NORFOLK NAS    34  6   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

NORFOLK VA     34  7   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

OCEANA NAS VA  34  8   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

CAPE HATTERAS  34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    



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