Tropical Storm Fay Wind Speed Probabilities

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FONT11 KNHC 101448
PWSAT1

TROPICAL STORM FAY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062020               
1500 UTC FRI JUL 10 2020                                            

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 
38.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.                                          

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

AUGUSTA ME     34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

PORTLAND ME    34  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

CONCORD NH     34  X   9( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

PORTSMOUTH NH  34  X   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

WORCESTER MA   34  2  11(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)

SPRINGFIELD MA 34  4  23(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
SPRINGFIELD MA 50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BOSTON MA      34  1   6( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

HYANNIS MA     34  1   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NANTUCKET MA   34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

PROVIDENCE RI  34  5   5(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

BRIDGEPORT CT  34 23  32(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)
BRIDGEPORT CT  50  1   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

NEW HAVEN CT   34 15  32(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)
NEW HAVEN CT   50  X   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

HARTFORD CT    34  8  27(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
HARTFORD CT    50  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NEW LONDON CT  34  7  13(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)

ALBANY NY      34  2  16(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)

POUGHKEEPSIE   34 10  23(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
POUGHKEEPSIE   50  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

MONTAUK POINT  34 12   6(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)

ISLIP NY       34 38  21(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)
ISLIP NY       50  2   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 59  11(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 50  5   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

NYC CNTRL PARK 34 47  13(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)
NYC CNTRL PARK 50  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

NEWARK NJ      34 49  11(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)
NEWARK NJ      50  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

TRENTON NJ     34 52   1(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)
TRENTON NJ     50  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

NWS EARLE NJ   34 75   3(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)
NWS EARLE NJ   50  6   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

ALLENTOWN PA   34 14   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

PHILADELPHIA   34 46   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)
PHILADELPHIA   50  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ATLANTIC CITY  34 93   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
ATLANTIC CITY  50  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

DOVER DE       34 27   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)

CAPE HENLOPEN  34 95   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)

OCEAN CITY MD  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

WALLOPS CDA    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BRENNAN                                                  



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