Tropical Storm Fay Wind Speed Probabilities

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827 
FONT11 KNHC 102243 CCA
PWSAT1

TROPICAL STORM FAY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6...CORRECTED 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062020               
2100 UTC FRI JUL 10 2020                                            

CORRECTED PROBABILITIES IN TABLE

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 
39.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                                          

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

CONCORD NH     34  2   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

PORTSMOUTH NH  34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

WORCESTER MA   34  7   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

SPRINGFIELD MA 34 20   5(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)

BOSTON MA      34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

PROVIDENCE RI  34  5   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

BRIDGEPORT CT  34 68   1(69)   X(69)   X(69)   X(69)   X(69)   X(69)
BRIDGEPORT CT  50  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

NEW HAVEN CT   34 54   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)

HARTFORD CT    34 35   1(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)

NEW LONDON CT  34 14   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

ALBANY NY      34 11   3(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

POUGHKEEPSIE   34 32   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
POUGHKEEPSIE   50  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MONTAUK POINT  34 11   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

ISLIP NY       34 81   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)
ISLIP NY       50  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 88   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 50  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NYC CNTRL PARK 34 65   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)
NYC CNTRL PARK 50  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

NEWARK NJ      34 60   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)
NEWARK NJ      50  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

TRENTON NJ     34 17   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)

NWS EARLE NJ   34 87   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)

PHILADELPHIA   34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

ATLANTIC CITY  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

CAPE HENLOPEN  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BRENNAN                                                  



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