Tropical Storm Gonzalo Wind Speed Probabilities

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FONT12 KNHC 240842
PWSAT2

TROPICAL STORM GONZALO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11          
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072020               
0900 UTC FRI JUL 24 2020                                            

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR      
LATITUDE 10.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

AVES           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

DOMINICA       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MARTINIQUE     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

SAINT LUCIA    34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  13(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
SAINT LUCIA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
SAINT LUCIA    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

SAINT VINCENT  34  X   X( X)   6( 6)  32(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
SAINT VINCENT  50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
SAINT VINCENT  64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

BARBADOS       34  X   1( 1)  15(16)   4(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
BARBADOS       50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
BARBADOS       64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GRENADA        34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  23(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
GRENADA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
GRENADA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

TRINIDADTOBAGO 34  X   X( X)   6( 6)   5(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)
TRINIDADTOBAGO 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
TRINIDADTOBAGO 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER ROBERTS                                                  



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