Tropical Depression Eleven Forecast Advisory

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981 
WTNT21 KNHC 120231
TCMAT1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112020
0300 UTC WED AUG 12 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N  41.5W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N  41.5W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N  40.9W

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 12.3N  43.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 12.8N  45.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 13.5N  48.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 14.5N  50.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 15.7N  53.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.0N  55.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 19.5N  60.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 22.0N  65.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N  41.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





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