Tropical Depression Eleven Forecast Advisory

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364 
WTNT21 KNHC 130838
TCMAT1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112020
0900 UTC THU AUG 13 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N  47.9W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N  47.9W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  47.3W

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 13.8N  49.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 14.9N  52.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.2N  55.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  10SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.6N  57.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.8N  60.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 20.3N  62.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 23.0N  66.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 26.0N  68.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N  47.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





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