Tropical Storm Josephine Forecast Advisory

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 132034
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112020
2100 UTC THU AUG 13 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  50.6W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  50.6W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  50.0W

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 15.5N  52.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.9N  55.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  20SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 18.3N  57.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  20SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 19.6N  60.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 20.9N  62.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 22.0N  64.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 25.0N  67.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 28.0N  68.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N  50.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




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