Tropical Storm Josephine Forecast Advisory

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373 
WTNT21 KNHC 131452
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112020
1500 UTC THU AUG 13 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  49.2W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  49.2W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  48.6W

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 14.5N  51.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 15.8N  53.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  20SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.1N  56.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  20SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.5N  58.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  20SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 19.9N  61.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 21.3N  63.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 24.0N  67.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 27.0N  68.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N  49.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





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