Tropical Storm Josephine Wind Speed Probabilities

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811 
FONT11 KNHC 140234
PWSAT1

TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10        
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112020               
0300 UTC FRI AUG 14 2020                                            

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

SAINT THOMAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SAINT MAARTEN  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)

SABA           34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ST EUSTATIUS   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ST KITTS-NEVIS 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BARBUDA        34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

ANTIGUA        34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER ROBERTS                                                  



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