Tropical Depression Fourteen Public Advisory

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000
WTNT34 KNHC 210543
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Fourteen Intermediate Advisory Number 3A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL142020
200 AM EDT Fri Aug 21 2020

...DEPRESSION CONTINUING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER COAST...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.0N 82.7W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM E OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER
ABOUT 275 MI...440 KM ESE OF ISLA ROATAN HONDURAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Punta Herrero to Cancun Mexico

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Honduras/Nicaragua border westward to Punta Castilla Honduras
* Bay Islands of Honduras
* Puerto Cabezas Nicaragua northward to the Honduras/Nicaragua
border
* Punta Herrero to Cancun Mexico

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.  A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM EDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fourteen
was located near latitude 15.0 North, longitude 82.7 West. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22
km/h), and this general motion is forecast to continue this morning.
A turn toward the northwest with a decrease in forward speed is
expected by this afternoon and continuing through at least Sunday.
On the forecast track, the center of the system will move near or
just offshore the coasts of northern Nicaragua and northeastern
Honduras, including the Bay Islands, today and approach the east
coast of the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico on Saturday.  The center is
then expected to cross the Yucatan Peninsula Saturday night and move
into the south-central Gulf of Mexico on Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and
the depression is expected to become a tropical storm later today.
The system is forecast to be near or at hurricane strength when it
reaches the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico late Saturday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
eastern Yucatan coast within the warning area by Saturday afternoon,
making outside preparations difficult or dangerous.  Hurricane
conditions are also possible within the watch area by late Saturday.

Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coasts of
northeastern Honduras and northern Nicaragua within the warning
area this morning, making outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.  These conditions will spread westward along
the coast of Honduras within the warning area today.

RAINFALL:  The depression is expected to produce the following
rainfall accumulations through Sunday:

Eastern portions of the Mexican states of Quintana Roo and Yucatan:
3 to 6 inches, isolated maximum totals of 10 inches. This rainfall
may result in areas of flash flooding.

Honduras: 2 to 4 inches.

Jamaica and northern Nicaragua: 1 to 2 inches.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Roberts



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