Tropical Storm Laura Forecast Advisory

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465 
WTNT23 KNHC 211514 CCA
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM LAURA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132020
1500 UTC FRI AUG 21 2020

CORRECTED TO INCLUDE MONTSERRAT IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PUERTO
RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANGUILLA...MONTSERRAT AND 
THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY.

THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. MAARTEN HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR ST. MAARTEN.

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO
CABRON TO THE BORDER WITH HAITI.

THE GOVERNMENT OF HAITI HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
NORTHERN COAST OF HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS TO THE BORDER
WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANGUILLA AND MONTSERRAT

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO CABRON TO
THE BORDER WITH HAITI
* THE NORTHERN COAST OF HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS TO THE
BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN CUBA AND THE REMAINDER OF THE BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF LAURA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N  60.2W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......130NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N  60.2W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N  59.5W

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 17.4N  62.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 18.3N  66.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 19.2N  69.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 20.2N  73.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  20SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 21.6N  77.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  40SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 23.2N  80.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  70SE  40SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 26.5N  85.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 29.5N  87.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N  60.2W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 21/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





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