Tropical Depression Fifteen Forecast Advisory

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098 
WTNT25 KNHC 312043
TCMAT5

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152020
2100 UTC MON AUG 31 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N  76.5W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N  76.5W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.2N  76.9W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 33.8N  75.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 34.9N  72.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 35.8N  69.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 36.7N  67.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  20SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 37.6N  63.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  20SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 38.2N  60.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  20SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 39.0N  55.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 41.5N  49.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.6N  76.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





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